Tuesday, April 22, 2014

Wide Open Two Weeks

There is a tie at the top of Big East Baseball with two weeks and four games to go.  Just who is going to win the three playoff spots  is wide open for debate.  Looking at the first six games nobody seems to have an edge.  There is one thing for sure somebody who is just as good as everybody else will not make the playoffs because these next four  games  they will lose more than they win.

The four teams tied at the top are Hunt, Fike, Northern Nash and Nash Central.  So far through six conference games Hunt by far has the best offense.  They have scored 54 runs in six games which is just short of nine runs per game.  25 of those runs came in one game against Southern.  Against all others they are scoring just under six per game.

The other end of the offense machine is Northern Nash who has scored only sixteen runs in their  six conferences.  That is a measly two and a half runs per contest.  Rocky Mount who stands in fifth spot in the standings has scored twenty six runs.   That's almost two runs per game more than Northern has scored.  Both Fike and Nash Central have crossed the plate twenty nine times  which is still twenty five runs behind Hunt.  Poor old Southern has scored but three runs in six games.  It is easy to see why they are winless in six games.

The opposite end of the spectrum is the defense.  Northern Nash despite scoring but sixteen has given up only 13. That is a tad more than two per game given up but less than half run per game difference every game.  Hunt not only has scored the most runs but they are tied with Northern  giving up the least.  It begs the question how has Hunt lost twice in conference scoring the most and tied giving up the least.

Fike has given up twenty three runs while Nash Central has allowed thirty one. Fike has score one run a game more than they have given up while the Bulldogs have given up more than they have scored.

Rocky Mount who sits in fifth a full two games behind the top four has scored the fourth most in twenty six while they are third best in runs allowed in twenty two.  This does point to how close all five teams are and if Rocky Mount  won all of their remaining four games they could not only make the playoff but just might tie for the top.

One would think that of the four tied  for the lead the one that wins three of the final four will win the conference. There is a good chance two or three just might tie for the top  and then how are they going to figure seedings.  It is for sure if one team tied at the top wins all four of their remaining games they will win the conference title.  Just who is that going to be is wide open.

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