Friday, January 30, 2015

Records Are Deceiving

Five of the six Big East basketball teams have winning records that exceed a 60 percent winning ratio.  That a nice percentage of 83 per cent of the league.  That's their overall records but when you start to analyze the conference teams this year the  league is full of  so so average teams.  Four have lost more than they have won 2-3.  Only two of the six made it through the first round of games able to win more than they lost.

Hunt 12-6  4-1 right now is heading down the backstretch with the lead.  They look like a lead horse.  They have a fairly big front line and guards to handle any pressure any up and comer can throw at them.  Look back a month ago I predicted Hunt to win the regular season despite at that time being only 6-4.  They played a tough schedule.  It is hard to penalize any team about their schedule when yearly they play people near them and there is always this factor other teams wanting to play you. There are years that your schedule is not good because the teams on it are having a bad year.  Hunt's case is  they got caught playing several really good non conference games early.

I saw in the Telegram after Southern Nash 11-7  3-2 beat Nash Central that Robbie Kennedy stated that a lineup change had made a really big difference for his team in a positive way.  Whether we think about this but teams change lineups more than you think.  Injuries leads the way and why one player sits while another plays.  Kennedy made his move and what the move has done for his team is it has made every part fit.  I look a lot better in clothes that fit over ones I wear when the button is about to pop off because I have out grown it.   Southern is a talented bunch and they can be a force when they play as one.

There is no doubt this is a transition year for Rocky Mount 9-5  2-3.  No longer the big bad wolf in size compared to everyone else they have gotten really good guard play  and when you look at past years with the play they have now why is it they  have led just the last week late in the game against Southern and Northern an yet lost.  It is not necessarily guard play but foul shooting, poor choices when to shoot and when not to. 

Nash Central 10-6 2-3 is just like everyone else  in that 2-3 tight battle for third-fourth-fifth- sixth.  We already know who ever finishes last in the league will be no worse that 2-8.  The way we stand at the midway point I can't see any  not at least finish 3-7.  During my preseason picks I picked the Bulldogs for last.  Right now they are right on schedule so if they are on schedule about half of this league is way behind in their schedule.  Central has played better during the first round of conferences games than I saw at the Christmas tournament.  If they improve as much the second go round as the first they will contend for a playoff spot.

Fike 11-5  2-3 I thought during their nonconference campaign had the easiest schedule of every conference member.  They have been up and down getting crushed by Rocky Mount at home and then beating Southern at Southern.  They have been a yo yo so far.  They are like so many teams in this league if they get hot they could still be the best team in the league.

Northern Nash 5-11 2-3.  Had about as tough a luck as you can have during many games in December.  Lack a big man like so many others that keeps them from being a real contender.  They knocked off Hunt and Rocky Mount at home so their next step is beating somebody on the road. If that starts happening more than once their overall record will start to improve and with it their conference standing.

Action tonight finds Northern traveling to Hunt a team they have already bit once.  Rocky Mount is at Nash Central and Southern is at Fike.  Let's wait till midnight to find out how many ties we have now.

Finally, who will win the Super Bowl.  I'm pulling for the Seahawks but with Sherman and Thomas hurting in the secondary for the Hawks I find it hard for Seattle to slow down the Pats.  If they were healthy I think it would be the Hawks all the way.  NE 27 Seattle 20

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