Monday, September 26, 2016

Let's Evaluate The Season

Just how can you judge one team's first half of the season over another when not one team played the exact same non conference schedule as the other.  Let's try to see if we can figure out how to see who has done well so far and how does it relate to what we can expect next week when conference play starts.

As they say this is not scientific but let's give every team credit of four points whenever a team on their schedule is classified 4A and multiply by that teams number of wins. 3A three points, 2A two points and 1A one point.  Example several teams in the Big East played Tarboro a 1A school who has won four games so far this season.  Any team that played Tarboro win or lose gets four points.  Let's give this thing a try.

Northern Nash  4-2: has played 3A Corinth Holders 0-5 zero points, Northeastern 2A 3-1 6 points, Laney 4A and 4-2 16 points, Tarboro 4-2 4 Points, Goldsboro 0-6  2A zero points and finally Smithfield Selma 0-6 3A zero points.  Total points Northern Nash 26

Hunt 2-3:  Opened the season against 4A Lumberton 2-4 8 points, Hertford County 2A 2-3 4 points, Northeastern  2A 3-1 6 points, Currituck 2-A 2-3 4 points, Beddingfield 3-3 6 points Total Points Hunt 30

Nash Central 4-2: started their season with Tarboro 1A 4-2 4 points, Smithfield Selma 0-6 zero points, North Johnston  2A 4-2 8 points, SouthWest Edgecombe 2A 1-5 2 points, Beddingfield  2A 3-3 6 points, Bunn 5-1 2A 10 points.  Total Points Nash Central 30

Fike 4-2:  First game of the year Fike started with Bunn 2A 4-2 8 points, East Wake 4A 2-4 8 points, Kinston 2A 3-2 6 points, Beddingfield 2A 3-3 6 points, South Granville 2A 4-2 8 points, Corinth Holders 3A 0-6 zero points.  Total Points Fike 36

Southern Nash 6-0:  Firebirds opened with 3A Northwood 2-3 6 points, Bedfingfield 2A 3-3 6 points, Bunn 2A 5-1 10 points, South Johnston 2-3 3A 6 points, Tarboro, 4-2 1A 4 points and Ayden Grifton 2A 3-3 6 points.  Total Points Southern Nash 38

Rocky Mount 5-1:  Began the season with South Granville 2A 4-2 8 points, Middle Creek 6-0 24 points, Hertford County 2A 2-3 4 points, Edenton Holmes 2A 5-1 10 points, Rose 4A 2-3 8 points, Hoke County 1-5 4 points.  Total Points Rocky Mount 58

So if this formula is any where close to being correct Rocky Mount will win the Big East due to this point having played the toughest schedule and a 5-1 record to boot.  Southern Nash will edge out Fike for second.  Nash Central and Hunt will be in a tussle for fourth and despite their 4-2 record Northern will finish last.

The points are close enough from second to sixth that one fumble, one injury can change a game and with it the outcome of the season.  If this  points system  is any where close the Gryphons will win their second straight conference title.  Five of the six conference teams have already won four games so it will only take one conference win to make it to the playoffs.  Is it possible that this league will have more than one team playing Thanksgiving weekend.




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